every time an election year comes along I look at the candidates and I study them. just so you all know, im not some idiot looking at the Candidates and saying whos better, im judging based on the past and our current culture




JEB BUSH: The Man We all thought year ago would take the nomination home on a golden platter but this just goes to show you that politics can be such a bitch. At this point Jeb Bush only really has support from the establishment and that's really it. hes a big name candidate yet he has almost no support. yeah sure, having the establishment behind you is a big deal but it means shit if nobody else supports you. He will make it to the top four candidates but he will drop out then. his only chance at the nomination is if he can rally Santorum, Kasich, Pataki, supporters behind him and then gain more in the polls but so far that seems unlikely



MIKE HUCKABEE: The Well meaning, Southern Baptist Preacher and governor from The South will probably not make it to the nomination, but his supporters will be part of the swing group that will decide who wins. Huckabee is part of a group of republicans I like to call " The swing Gang " because history has proven for republicans that if you don't have the south your basically dead. The swing Gang are The republican Candidates who command Highly in the south but cant win. Huckabee, Santorum, Carson. None of a chance of wining but there supporters will have the biggest impact on who wins. In the end theres really no path for Huckabee to take for victory.



MARCO RUBIO: Rubio is Probably the hardest To Predict. Rubio has the support, the charm, and the skills to run and win. the problem is so far we have not seen it. oh yes of course hes made his dramatic statements in debates but his poll numbers are not challenging Trump or Cruz, The republican Frontrunners. Rubio can do it for sure but can he push it? His biggest problem with support his he does not have the support in the north or the deep south everyone had hoped for. now, most of this is because his name is not affiliated with the more known candidates so its more of a problem of becoming better known and. either way, I think Rubio will come pretty close but he just will not have the votes at the end of the night. I could be completely wrong on this one though, he just needs to pull his act together.



DONALD TRUMP: The republican Frontrunner ( sadly in my opinion ) has been gaining speed since he announced he was running. Trump could do it but his problem is the game he chose to play can not be easily turned around. Trump is playing to our fears and confirming what a lot of people believe deep down inside but just don't want to say. he also has a very funny personality and is a very attractive candidate for voters sick of Washington bullshit. however, trump's game has been working fine with republicans, but can it work with the Nation? The answer is a big fat NO. Trump's game of playing our fears and yelling whatever he wants will not fly with the older, undecided, Swing votes on national election day. eith the republicans, he has a good chance of victory carrying on with his current plan but it wont work when doing it nation wide. Trump would have to change his entire personality to win....everything. A political Makeover like this has never worked but with only Margret Thatcher. in the end, Trump will come deadly close to getting the nomination but he will lose by the skin of his teeth. why> because moderate Republicans and libertarians will not support him at all costs and at the end of the night, moderates have the last say in almost all elections in general.



KASICH: Kasich and Rubio are the ideal Republicans to beat Clinton. Kasich, Surprisingly, has the lowest amount of support out of any candidate along with Rand Paul. Kasich's biggest challenge is the Trump War Machine. He simply cant beat it. Just like Paul, Bush, and Walker, every time he came up to wack trump they got there asses kicked. the only candidate that came close to defeating the Trump was Fiona and even she fell a bit. Kasich will be one of the first Major Candidates to drop out. He does not have the support, and recently he has begun to look like a bumbling idiot on stage. he cant win, its simply impossible



CRUZ: Truly the shining star of The Grass Roots movement known as the Tea Party, if you had told me Cruz was gonna be a contender for president last year I would laughed in your face harder then when I heard Obama's First state of the union address. but like I said, Politics is a strange master. Cruz will Be The republican Nominee for President, mark my words. Why? well first of all cruz has everything going against him. Hes Not moderate, and he does not play well with others. the key to his victory....is the Trump. Cruz has united most of the Hard liners on his side while Trump supporters are just angry Conservatives from all levels and places. His Hardliners will put him in the final Group but what will push him to victory? the swing gang. Once it comes down to cruz Vs Trump The establishment will be forced to throw in behind Cruz since he the more moderate out of the two. Then, with Establishment Support, The swing Votes gong to his side since he commands the south, he will have just enough to take out Trump. Crzu could quite Possibly lose if the Establishment for some reason thrws in behind Trump or if Trump drops out. basically if things keep going the way they are....Cruz will take the nomination be a slight majority


BEN CARSON: His outsider Image has only carried him so far. I expect him to drop out soon



the remaining Candidate major candidates ( fionia, Paul, Christie, ) don't even have enough support to really have even the slightest prayer ( the only reason I mentioned Huckabee is because I was explain my ' Gang Of Swing Votes " )

all in all, I think it will end up being this


REPUBLICAN TICKET: Cruz And Rubio

DEMOCRAT TICKET: Clinton and either Sanders or O'Mally

OTHER: Trump, Johnson


This race, in my opinion, will boil down to how many more screw ups Clinton makes and who she choses for Vice. Politically, Sanders is the best choice but will she do it? quite possibly.

Clinton will be our next President if nothing changes Campaign wise since she will be the moderate

* this was based off of Politico, Fox, NBC, and my political Studies

Did anyone hear the rumor that Michael Bloomberg did poll testing of how he would compete against Hillary!!??

Oh man wouldn't that be interesting if Bloomberg joins as an Independent candidate? He could take a lot of centrist voters with him. Would really really shake things up.

that really would. Trump and Bloomburg as Independents with cruz Vs Clinton



Wow the most epic Election ever by far

"Trump would have to change his entire personality to win....everything. A political Makeover like this has never worked but with only Margret Thatcher."
You forgot Hillary's patented "5-seconds-and-I-can-fundamentally-transform-everything-about-myself" system designed for drawing in diverse groups.

Seriously though, I think Trump wins the nomination, maybe Cruz as VP, but probably someone else (he's too narcissistic to allow a big-name VP). I could never see Cruz and Rubio together just because they disagree on a lot and aren't very chummy. Honestly, I dislike Trump, but I don't understand why people say he would get crushed by Hillary. He polls better head-to-head, has much more powerful base support (much like Sanders), and most importantly actually has potential to bring in independents and Democrats. Cruz is more conservative (I prefer him) but Trump is a weird mongrel that is more 'Trump' than 'Republican' or 'Conservative'. Hillary will have difficulty in bringing in independents and Republicans (she's too liberal for the latter and to shady for the former), and also in getting out the vote - a problem I doubt Trump will have.

On the Democratic side, I think it is silly to discount Sanders. Hillary is one corrupt Justice Department away from an indictment. I hope she gets indicted after she wins the nomination, because it would be so easy to beat her, but the threat of criminal charges alone is causing her to tank in the polls. And while she may have greater support than Bernie, he is far more effective at getting people to vote. Many Hillary supporters may well just sit and home expecting a foregone conclusion. Her real weakness is independents, who she doesn't appeal to as much as Sanders. Despite all the 'coronation' talk, Hillary has a 50% chance of losing the nomination, and if she is indicted before then its all over. Moreover, if she does win, I doubt she will be effective in the general election (any Republican could tear her apart 1-on-1 with all the baggage she has).

Sidenote - look at how many people related to the CLinton's have died - aides, bodyguards, aquaintances. Many were on the edge of testifying agianst them. It is really scary.

I think only about 1/3 of Americans think Hillary Clinton is trustworthy and I think she's only polling around 40% among young voters. Note that Obama won 60% of the youth vote.

Good point Jai. The thing is: many Democrats are uninformed and simply vote for whoever the candidate is - not all, but many. I heard a story once of a Democrat saying they would vote for a rock if it was the candidate. However, she will lose the more traditional Democrats because they aren't motivated, and independents have no sheeple ideology of voting for the person with a "D" next to their name. Therefore, Hillary will have only the base. Trump will have his base, and Independents and (if you believe polls) up to 20% of Dems.

Edited 1/13/2016 16:59:02

This an important time for democrats to be sure. Twenty years ago during the bill Clinton years Conservative democrats died out and a new wave of Moderate democrats came in. Now, if more radicals like Sanders get into power it will eventually cause the death of Moderate democrats. The extremists in that party are murdering the more moderate members

Ok, we get it. You like Republicans.

These names won't even matter after Clinton gets into office for her second time.

what is the difference between a moderate democrat and an extremist one then?

1. I highly doubt Sanders will run as a VP. I think he'd rather be back in Congress than become a VP.

2. If Rubio becomes the nominee, don't discount Kasich as a VP choice. If he can stop looking bad on stage, he would be a great VP to take away some of Clinton's moderates (most democrats I know say Kasich is their favorite Republican candidate), and he comes from the huge swing state of Ohio, which is always nice to have as a candidate.

@angry koala

Moderate democrat = average European center-right
Extremist democrat = average European center/center-left.

Edited 1/13/2016 17:22:16

"most democrats I know say Kasich is their favorite Republican candidate" Yeah, but they still prefer the Dems. That isn't gonna change.

"These names won't even matter after Clinton gets into office for her second time." As I said before, I doubt Hillary will win. Out of curiosity, why do you think she will?

"Moderate democrat = average European center-right
Extremist democrat = average European center/center-left."
SPOT ON!

Edited 1/13/2016 17:37:29

I still say Cruz has the nomination locked up but only because the establishment is gonna have to chose between the demon or the devil

Cruz Is not as classic liberal ( otherwise known as a libertarian )

Explain please

"He is pro free speech, he wants a small government, and he believes in theocracy and oligarchy"

Fixed that for you

Theocracy? .....yeah sureeeeeeeeeeee. Classical liberalism is now called libertarianism. Cruz, is not a libertarian by far

he believes in theocracy and oligarchy

lol really hitchslap? Even you know that's false.

I'm socialist? Lol wtf? XD

are you really this stupid?

Asmodeus guess what I am an evil Socialist supporting Tumblr! mwahaha!