The spreadsheet should be up to date. It's just that nobody has posted and score updates in the thread.

Yeah, I was doing that but I'm really busy right now irl. Hence the bootfest.

The Spreadsheet is up to date. I have edited that once a week ish... I can do an update later today.


I told the Panel that I would attempt to scoreskeep if they couldn't find anyone else to. I'm very busy right now with school and my grandmother is on her death bed so I'm struggling to find time right now.

Don't worry Turtle, take the time with your family. A couple of week is nothing for a competition that takes 6 months^^.

Will be better with the CLOT. The best way is an automatic way.

So, using a winrate*(points left to play) system, we can make projections of the gap between each clan in the season and at how much points they should end if they keep their winrate the same.



Based on the gaps we can see, the fight for first and fourth is still very competitive. Turtles, Apex and WG endings are pretty safe to assume.

Screw you!

LOL
Points left to play * win rate + curr points
Means exacly the same as win rate statistic

So many calculations to get the same result as you had at the beggining.

I think he was alluding to the inevitability of apex's relegation in that graphic.

Yeah, it was a quote of some other post which doesn't change fact that tha statistic was worthless and i am surprised noone else noticed that

So many calculations to get the same result as you had at the beggining.

You're totally right. But I think that the most important thing in that table I posted was the input of a more visual point gap between clans. Winrate percentages are often hard to visualize as "virtual" difference between clans. As the maths for itself it took me litteraly 5 minutes to make those calculations in excel, so I wouldn't consider them as "many" :p


@Timi

I just made an assumption using the probable scenario I could see with the table. It pleases me that apex managed to beat the odds and is now neck to neck with GG. It's way more entertaining to watch a fight to avoid relegation instead of a dispute for 4th, although I'm pretty sure GG disagrees with me haha

Gl to both in your CL end to avoid relegation

Standings (by points won percentage):

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   Clan       Points      Max         P.win%      Tournament wins    Predicted points

1. Lynx        158  (+4)  172 (-14)  68.3 (-8.2)         1                168 (-11)
2. Masters     141 (+27)  174 (-13)  67.8 (-0.5)         3 (+1)           163  (-1)
3. Turtles     147 (+22)  162 (-13)  66.7 (+3.6)         3                157  (+5)
4. French      116 (+23)  126 (-12)  50.0 (+2.3)         2 (+1)           121  (+7)
5. Apex        104 (+38)  113  (-5)  43.8 (+8.7)         1 (+1)           107 (+23)
6. GG           95 (+12)  105 (-31)  42.2 (-4.5)         0                 99 (-15)
7. WG           31  (+4)   36 (-28)  13.8 (-0.2)         0                 31  (-2)

Finished games: Bold indicates tournament winner

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1v1

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No changes here

Strat ME SR - MoD / Hades / Buns / 125ch209 / Window Cleaner / brisk / Verzehrer

Guiroma - MoD / Mars / Oh / Niko / MisterT / Miyagi / Verzehrer

Greece - jz / GreenTea / USA Biches / Wazz / MG / Timi / Chris

Battle Islands - Bjarke / GreenTea / Turkish / Ze / JV / timon / Andersault

French Brawl - MotD / Dom / Buns / Phaeril / JV / Beren / Oh Noes

Treasure Map - jz / Hades / Nackickwind / Wazz / Motoki / Chris / Reza
2v2

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Final Earth: Lynx
Turtles spoil Lynx's perfect tourney win here, but they still end up a tidy 5-1. Apex wins 2 more games against French and WG to improve to 4-1. The lone remaining game is Apex vs Masters, which is essentially for 2nd place in the group. If apex wins they move to 5-1 and lose the tiebreaker to Lynx finishing second. Masters would then fall into a 3-way tie for 3rd with WG and Turtles. If Masters win, both Apex and Masters will be 4-2 with Masters owning the tiebreaker.

China
Turtles beat GG to finish 5-1, with GG 4-2. Masters and Lynx are playing the only remaining game which will decide who wins the tournament. If Masters win they will win the tournament, but if Lynx wins Turtles do, due to a head-to-head victory.

Strat ME SR: French
French beat Masters to win this tournament with a 5-1 record. Masters also lost to GG to fall to 4-2 and second place.

3v3

---

EU SR: Masters
A lot has happened here. Masters has won 3 games including the big one against Lynx, clinching the tournament victory and forcing Lynx to settle for second after their scorching start. At the bottom of the group GG, WG, and Turtles continue their struggles and Apex picks up a pair of wins.

Great Lakes: Apex
Apex finishes this tournament strong with 4 victories to clinch the tournament win. Turtles also win 1 game with one last game remaining versus the 1 loss Lynx team. Masters, Lynx, Turtles, and French are all sitting with 1 or 2 losses, but 2nd place is guaranteed to be the winner of the Lynx-Turtles clash.

Summary

---

There is a very exciting fight for 1st place happening here between Lynx and Masters (Turtles hasn't been eliminated from the running, but with only 4 more max points than Lynx's current points it would be difficult to achieve). Lynx still sits with a healthy 17 points advantage over Masters, but Masters still holds a higher ceiling. This wasn't a good update for Lynx though as they see their win-rate lead crumble to a mere 0.5%. They still hold a 5 point lead in Predicted Points, but it looks like it could go down to the wire and Masters would win in the event of a tie due to being assured to having more tournament victories.

French is now locked in at 4th place, so they won't contend for a podium place but are significantly above the relegation fight.

At the bottom WG continues their season from hell as they only manage to notch 1 victory in this update.

As for the other relegation spot, it had looked like Apex was done and dusted, but after a spate of losses from GG and a very strong closing kick in Final Earth, Europe, and Great Lakes they have overtaken GG. They now sit 1 point below GG's max points, so any win by Apex or loss by GG will seal it.

Edited 11/21/2016 19:50:45

Yeah, we had a disaster season. One went completely inactive mid league and few people were taking their turns but not really dialed into it. We got smoked in solo play anyway.

Oh well. Hopefully we'll bounce back next season. This was a bit of a transition season.

Do we get a top draft pick at least?

Yeah lynx also got their first boot in the league. It was some noob called hades in the picking stage of EU against masters. Not the best time to get booted...

Chris you just go back to B right now, if you even go down to C then you are in the draft part but A and B will be staying the same as we are used to so you don't have to worry about the draft yet

Waka, I think its a joke referencing NBA/NFL(I am not sure which one) where you get better draft picks if you finish last.

On speeding up clan league we can get clans to agree on no vacations or a limited number as a whole clan then have a penalty for it e.g if all In group A agree they can have 2 vacations whole league and if a 3rd is done x points deducted so either they get a member of their clan to take their turns or they don't delay the league

ladies and gentlemen, we have the winner! :D

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LYNX!!!!

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=04854XqcfCY

I know what is in the link without openning it.

EDIT: Congrats of course.

Edited 12/7/2016 20:13:45

Congratulations. Well done!

Congratulations Lynx!

Very proud of our performance and of all Lynx's performances this season, especially on team games !

That last game on Great Lakes against QB, Jz and Farah was very tense and exciting at the same time. :P