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CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-13 00:02:41


Φιλώτας 
Level 62
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wow! extraordinary and detailed galop from both -bravo!
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-13 00:39:06


Deadman 
Level 64
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That was a fantastic read. Keep up the good work!
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-13 01:21:43


Aura Guardian 
Level 62
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The remaining 2 correspondents were slug and tranny. Both gave their username, but I don't know either well enough to comfirm or deny this reported gender.


That's interesting...
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-13 04:22:43

mslasm 
Level 62
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Great job Math Wolf!
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-13 15:08:26


Howling Mad
Level 59
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tx math wolf
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-13 15:35:51


Kaerox
Level 59
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Really awesome job, it was a pleasure to read this all on each thread !

Also : "The latter is likely the correct mental age for both."

hi plat
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-13 18:16:56


Onoma94
Level 61
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22 repondents either left this blank or preferred not to say. The remaining 2 correspondents were of gender, other: "slug" and "tranny".


*On the clans, we got the following input:
Poon Squad, 101st, ACME and Masters got an extra vote of confidence. Hydra is much stronger than in CL8, M'Hunters are cool, French is underrated, Weirdo's shouldn't be underestimated, Outlaws didn't field their best line-up, ACME will lose to Hydra, TJC to Apprentice. Poon Squad nearly beats FCC, but FCC will rock your socks. WG should dissolve and give back smileyleg to TJC. M'Hunters get mad about a rule and blame their 3rd place finish on that. They will also miss first in their division by at most the amount of point they'll lose on 3v3 EU and proceed to blame Smoove for leaving the clan.
*On specific players and groups, we got the following input:
- Q3 is the toughest: One of TJC's players is Nich (former WG player) making TJC even stronger
- Math Wolf will lose all his games.
- MoD somehow doesn't win Elitist Africa, finishing 4-2.
- MOTD SUX
- I miss Sultan ),:
* About Clan League in general, the following input was given:
- Two people hope all goes smoothly without complaining and drama.
- Meanwhile, two others already claim it's rigged.
- It's going to be a good one though and we all are wished good luck by one friendly respondent!


Beautiful.
Thank you Math Wolf for that.
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-13 19:09:42


Min34 
Level 63
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two others respectively 3 and 5 years old. The latter is likely the correct mental age for both.

Math Wolf the savage
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-13 21:51:48


Jefferspin 
Level 62
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hahaha missed that part.
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-13 22:24:15

Memele 
Level 60
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It was a good laught reading that. Keep the good work Math wolf ;)
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-14 04:41:53

smileyleg 
Level 61
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WG should dissolve and give back smileyleg to TJC.


Thanks whoever, it's nice to be appreciated!

(Assuming this is from a TJC person that is...)
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-14 15:25:25

Mike
Level 59
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* Respondents were mostly male (64), with 2 reported females. The males includes one respondent who is assumed to be female by many.


And, of course, what all you horny pervs want to know: the non-anonymous woman chose to not share her age, the anonymous woman is 17 and therefore jailbait. So please behave!


(4) Falling down the stairs hurts a lot more when there's a wall halfway through your fall.


Quality ^_^

Why not disclose names in your report ?

Can you explain why top seeded sometimes falls 2nd in your rankings ? Doesn't make sense to me.
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-14 16:13:56


Onoma94
Level 61
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Can you explain why top seeded sometimes falls 2nd in your rankings ?


What do you mean?

Edited 2/14/2017 16:14:16
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-14 16:50:34


psykkoman
Level 61
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Jailbait at 17?
You live in weird country.
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-14 17:03:15

Mike
Level 59
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What do you mean?


7th Heaven for example. Unless they are not displayed in descending order ? Why ? WHY ?!? lol

Edited 2/14/2017 17:05:14
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-14 17:05:18


Min34 
Level 63
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                   1    2    3    4    5    6 mean   sd
CORP            32.6 43.0  9.3  9.3  3.5  2.3 2.15 1.21
7th Heaven      52.3 20.9  3.5  8.1  7.0  8.1 2.21 1.67


Because clans are based on this (the bold) number and not on who was voted what place most.

Edited 2/14/2017 17:06:32
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-14 17:07:30

Mike
Level 59
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Yeah
Clans are sorted by mean rank.


Still doesn't make sense to me though or there should be different weights on each position (top positions heavier than lower positions), which would result in just sort by % for each position.
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-15 01:34:42


linberson 
Level 63
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#### Division A ####

           1    2    3    4    5    6    7 		mean   sd        
Masters 78.9 14.4  4.4  1.1  0.0  0.0  1.1 = 100%	1.33 0.85 addition of values 1-7 shold give a total of 100%
Lynx    13.3 56.7 15.6  7.8  3.3  3.3  0.0 = 100%	2.41 1.13
Turtles  3.3 15.6 52.2 17.8 11.1  0.0  0.0 = 100%	3.18 0.94
French   2.2  6.7 16.7 34.4 21.1 16.7  2.2 = 100%	4.24 1.29
Outlaws  0.0  2.2  7.8 20.0 28.9 21.1 20.0 = 100%	5.19 1.31
One      1.1  3.3  3.3 16.7 22.2 38.9 14.4 = 100%	5.30 1.29
Blitz    2.2  1.1  1.1  3.3 13.3 17.8 61.1 = 100%	6.22 1.30


Ranked after mean.

Mean = you add up all the numbers and then divide by the number of numbers.

The percentage below each rank then shows you how many players voted them into that place.
CL Predictions SpreadSheet: 2017-02-22 12:38:38


Math Wolf 
Level 64
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Thanks for the nice words everyone! It was my pleasure. And obviously, I have no idea why you (mostly) guys find a report with some boring statistics funny.

To answer some of the comments:
(Assuming this is from a TJC person that is...)

This respondent is a member of TJC.

Why not disclose names in your report ?

In the survey itself, it was stated that results would be anonymized. I alone keep the non-anonymized data for quality control. I'm willing to share the fully anonymized data to anyone who can give me a good reason why they want them (i.e. an idea for a data-analysis) through PM.

Can you explain why top seeded sometimes falls 2nd in your rankings ? Doesn't make sense to me.

As linberson explained, they are ranked after mean. I went back and forth a little on this because the mean is not a great choice for this, but it is the best one there is, I believe. Sorting by number of first place votes doesn't make sense, it would put Blitz before Outlaws for example in A. Sorting by mode or median doesn't make sense either, see Q3 for example (and an additional tiebreaker would be needed).

Another system I considered was sort of a surplus votes ranking. The first ranked team is the one with the most first place votes. The second ranked team is the ones with the most first and second place votes, where first place votes count double, etc. The problem with this system is that going from first to last can give a different ranking than going from last to first, which is undesirable for a ranking system.

I considered putting weights on positions as well, as you mentioned. My initial idea was something along the lines 10-7-5-3-2-1-0. I decided against this as any choice of weights would have been arbitrary. Weights would assumingly work better if there is indeed uninformed last-place voting, as is probably the case for 7th Heaven and Apprentice.

Jailbait at 17?
You live in weird country.

In many jurisdictions, this is the case. Note that for all practical purposes the jurisdiction of the act where it happened, applies. I'm not sure under which jurisdiction Warlight.net falls in case of sexual harassment, so I erred towards caution.
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