I thought I was losing, but when looking at the history after I won I was surprised. Etownzu was in peace with me until we were the only non-ai people left. I somehow got lucky enough to take 14 states before we had to fight. I think Krochsan could have defeated me, but he quit to early in the fight and became an ai.
http://warlight.net/MultiPlayer.aspx?GameID=1912489