16% weighted round. Don't look it up on the attack graph and don't calculate it, just post what you think it is off the top of your head.

20-30%

0% when it's you, 100% when it's your opponent

Semi-seriously, my usual guess is 9, and it seems right, so 9%.

Edited 4/6/2014 12:39:29

One succeeded yesterday for me...first time I've ever seen it. P

4%?

Seeing that 3v2 has 80% chance I would say the 4v3 is accually not so small. So 25-35% I would say

So far the estimates goes from 4% to 35%...

I'll go with 11%.

my first thought was "around 20%"
probably much less though

on third thought, if 2vs2 has something like 5% of succeeding then 4vs3 must be much higher. so yeah, around 20%.

damn you piggy, now i have to launch a game and check it.

EDIT - just checked, yeah, it's higher then i was thinking, no spoilers :)

Edited 4/6/2014 14:33:35

in 0% weighted is 40% if i remember right, so i think that in 16% WR is more or less the same.

Edited 4/6/2014 14:59:42

38%

It's much more likely than I usually think. I typically think of it not being a worthy option at all, but it is around 35%-40%.

About 35% I think.

(500 + 10000 - 7) * 1/50000 + (-5) + 2^2 + #Attackers - #Defenders - 1/100 + 7/50000 + 0.2

That's the formula I use and it has never failed me as long as there are 4 attackers and 3 defenders.

I know, I use lots of formulas, but what can you do?

Also, I assume attack% is 60 and defence% is 70.

my guess... approximately 0%.

Out of experience it's 0%. Max.

12%

Then again, how often is it tried?

I looked it up tonight. It's exactly 40%.

Let's try some more.

a) 12v8
b) 15v10
c) 6v4
d) 8v5
e) 20v12

It depends who does the attack.

Your opponent usually has about 80% to suceed.

JSA's all have a similar chance I think.