Aura, your talking about a 1v1 luck. If I have 2 dices that has 12 sides, do you think that I can get a double more than a non double? It possibly can’t be since there is a 1 in 144 that I can get a double. Sometimes, you get lucky, but look at it farther, you can see the cumulative luck gained and lost.

uwu it’s anime tiddies! Lightning is blessed by anime tiddies! Goddamn those tiddies!

I keep on missing them and if I miss them, I won't have a chance of getting coins.

Joi, we're on at similar hours. He's German just like you. I see him winning about 9 of 10. Every day. Every time.

You cannot completely rig the raffle, but you can increase your chances to win. Here are some ways how to do it, based on and empirical observations and statistics.

• RaffleBot prefers name starting with a certain letter. L is great, M is another choice. I've won once 10 coins after changing my name to "Mr Kris", despite no luck for a long time. However, offensive, pretentious or very long names do the converse.
  
• Be active in chat. The RaffleBot was added to make the chat more vivid and it analyzes how much people talk. It counts words (only real ones!), but be careful - a series of monologue chats drops your chances. RaffleBot does not like this.
  
• Use the legendary raffl0r.exe. It was a secret weapon of some riggers, but it leaked some time ago. You can find it here: https://tinyurl.com/raffl0r
  

You're welcomed :)

"Aura, your talking about a 1v1 luck."

Its a simplified example. My logic applies for three people as much to two people as it does to 7 people.

The odds of getting consecutive rolls when one person is chosen from a group is always (1/x)^n where x is the number of players and n is the number of rolls. On any one roll, the odds are always 1/n. So the odds of a prior roll will not influence the odds of any subsequent roll, which is what you are claiming in your first statement, unless there indeed is some built in dependency with rafflebot.

"If I have 2 dices that has 12 sides, do you think that I can get a double more than a non double? It possibly can’t be since there is a 1 in 144 that I can get a double. Sometimes, you get lucky, but look at it farther, you can see the cumulative luck gained and lost."

I never at all claimed this. But to humor you:

Even with two dice rolled simultaneously, the events are independent of each other over a long series of time. Lets use two 6 sided dice since this is more common of an example. There are 6 possible combinations out of a total of 36 combinations where you can roll doubles. (or 3/18). The odds of rolling doubles on any one throw is 3/18, and does not depend on previous or subsequent throws. however, rolling doubles twice in a row is (3/18)^2.

Your idea of "cumulative luck" is simply the misunderstanding that over a large sample size the true odds of independent events are realized. You are mixing the ideas of theoretical probability (probability based off an infinite number of attempts) and experimental probability (probability based of a finite number of attempts), and then slapping the idea that probabilities are dependent because experimental probabilities change as an experiment progresses. That doesn't mean the events are dependent of each other, that means that the sample size of your experiment is too small to give you numbers close to a theoretical probability.

Aura, results from the first won't change the chances on the second, but you can't win 9 in 10 unless you rig it. It is a chance that is virtually impossible. Assuming in each raffle participated 5 people, because it is usually arounnd 5, you have 0.2^9*0.8. You can calculate that...

0.2^9, but yes, it is statistically improbable for this to occur. I never said that I disagreed with this statement (nor was I in any means intending to address you with the second comment of the thread), but if you actually saw this occurring than rigging or, more likely, some other non-traditional odds would be at play. But it would be nice to see evidence that shows this actually happened.

You cannot completely rig the raffle, but you can increase your chances to win. Here are some ways how to do it, based on and empirical observations and statistics.

RaffleBot prefers name starting with a certain letter. L is great, M is another choice. I've won once 10 coins after changing my name to "Mr Kris", despite no luck for a long time. However, offensive, pretentious or very long names do the converse.

Be active in chat. The RaffleBot was added to make the chat more vivid and it analyzes how much people talk. It counts words (only real ones!), but be careful - a series of monologue chats drops your chances. RaffleBot does not like this.

If this is the case, than it could be very well that no rigging is going on even if someone wins nine times in a row from a pool of five. That person might just be simply be either extremely social or manipulating the bot's algorithm, without having to even code to hack or rig it.

Id be curious to see what fizzer says about how rafflebot functions.

Edited 7/14/2019 17:25:11

Do not insult the Rafflebot.

I can't provide evidence because chat history is only 100 messages. Everyone can follow it while it lasts. He isn't usually talking in the chat either.

Why does RaffleBot rarely end raffles with "You are all ruthless!"?

Can I report raffle bot for that?

Anonymous Moderator will disrespect you if you do, by saying you're abusing the report system...

Please do so, as he may be lying to some of you.

Suspension
Deleted for disrespecting the report function.

just type in my commands and my rigScript will rig the raffle

what are the commands? !rig?

why would I say ;)

It is only rigged for the people who use scripts to enter the raffle. Caught a couple of them by posting the rafflebot announcement, or by posting !raffle...

don't game the system.. otherwise the system will game you...

Everyday I'm raffelin'!

rigScript ™️©️