@Phobos: I'm all for your moves and I made no secret of me opposing the notion of Rufus sitting in Caucasus but instead of him probably being in Middle East. However Rufus not showing up in Russia this turn means probably very little about whether I was right about Caucasus not being a thing. If Rufus took East Africa last turn he would have needed perfect leftovers in order to move to Russia with a 4v2 attack. Also if Rufus would be able to afford a 4v2 attack towards Russia the question is what he would want to achieve there so early. We might not have started with a Russia bonus and if we had, we might just defend our bonus.
The strange thing about the "World" is that as I said that we should take South America immediately the majority opposed that plan due to it apparently being too risky. However now with people having voted not to move in South America, our whole strategy has come down to us blindly intercepting Rufus' expected Russia counter without us having any intel apart from the fact that we lost Central America. I have laid out a clear picture here about what is going on behind the fog however the problem is just that I tend to be wrong sometimes. The way we are playing this looks way more all in to me than us starting with South America.