I'd have to disagree. People that pick the same triple are the hardest, since Namib isn't making backup picks and relying on sheer luck for picks 4-6.
Example:
http://warlight.net/MultiPlayer?GameID=6766931I got good backup picks, after losing pick 2 and 3 to my opponent, but that was dumb luck, I could have just as easily gotten Greenland and East Africa.