BONUS       	TOTAL	T 1	T 2	T 3	T 4	T 5	T 6+	AVG
Scandinavian Pe	24.5	6.0	5.8	2.0	2.1	1.9	6.7	4.4
Southeast Asia	18.9	6.7	3.5	1.5	1.2	0.8	5.2	4.4
Central Russia	12.5	1.1	1.2	0.6	0.9	1.1	7.7	7.5
West Africa 	12.3	1.6	1.9	0.6	0.8	1.0	6.4	6.4
Antarctica  	12.2	4.3	2.3	1.0	1.0	0.9	2.7	3.9
South America	12.0	0.2	2.2	1.3	1.0	1.4	5.8	6.4
Central America	11.6	4.7	2.0	0.9	0.7	0.5	2.9	4.2
East Africa 	11.1	0.8	1.4	0.6	0.8	1.2	6.4	7.2
West Russia 	10.7	1.5	1.6	0.7	1.1	1.2	4.7	6.2
Indonesia   	8.9 	0.2	2.3	0.7	1.0	0.9	3.9	6.3
South Africa	8.6 	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.7	6.7	8.7
North Africa	8.5 	0.5	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.6	6.5	9.4
East China  	7.4 	0.7	2.3	0.8	0.7	0.4	2.4	5.4
Caucasus    	7.2 	0.0	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.1	5.2	8.4
West China  	2.5 	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.9	9.3
Australia   	2.4 	0.0	0.8	0.1	0.1	0.3	1.1	6.2
Middle East 	2.0 	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	1.7	10.9
Greenland   	1.8 	0.0	0.5	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.9	7.0
West US	        1.3 	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	1.1	10.2
Canada	        1.2 	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.1	11.1
Europe	        1.1 	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	1.0	9.8
East US	        0.7 	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6	10.1
East Russia 	0.4 	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4	11.8

TOTAL = % of games bonus is taken (ever)
T 1   = % of games bonus is taken in Turn 1
T 2   = % of games bonus is taken in Turn 2
T 3   = % of games bonus is taken in Turn 3
T 4   = % of games bonus is taken in Turn 4
T 5   = % of games bonus is taken in Turn 5
T 6+  = % of games bonus is taken in Turn 6 or later
AVG   = When bonus is taken, average turn number

Analysis is from 10,000+ recent 1v1 ladder games.

(I was pretty bored...)

Interesting, I am suprised by some of the rankings here.

cool analysis. :)

Australia and Greenland are less popular than Caucasus? I love those 2 bonuses though..

im only surprised by greenland < middle east and aus < caucasus and west china

@Lolo an Sephiroth - there are almost 300 randked players in 1v1 - wierd things happen in some games between low-rated players

I see what others think are odd, but South and North Africa both higher than East China? Wut?

I'm assuming you wrote some code to calculate this. Would you mind sharing?

Also would it be possible to run this on all non-expired games of the top 50 ranked players on the ladder?

^ Also back that request to view the code. Is there any part of it I could use without being a Member? I can't tell whether you used the WL API to do this or some other scraping techniques.

It'd be really cool if you could share it as a Gist on GitHub.

Edited 6/9/2015 07:57:13

Sure, I will post the code on GitHub later.

It's basically in two parts: some Groovy code to pull the histories from the API, parse the JSON, and insert it into a SQL database, and then some SQL code to turn it into something useful.

MotD: I will do a run with the top-ranked players. I will have to manually make a table of players to include or something because as far as I can tell there's no way to get player info through the API. (The histories unfortunately do not include the lobby message like "Player 1 ranked 12th with a rating of 2000 versus ...")


I am surprised that Caucasus is completed 3x more often than Australia.

Also that a FTB is captured in about 20% of games. (This is somewhat less I'm sure as some of those games both players would capture one.)

@Krzychu: So weird that Caucasus is finished 3x more often than GL and Aus? o.o

I know when I first started playing I like Caucasus a lot. I initially played mostly on the Earth map, not Medium Earth, and on that map Caucasus is 6 income for 6 territories.

I also think a lot of beginners don't realize the value of having a bonus that's hard to get to. They think in general more about getting high income, rather than in terms of winning the game. Caucasus is good for getting a high income, since it's adjacent to several bonuses with good income-territory ratios. The problem, of course is that it's almost impossible to defend.

How did you analyze this? Did you go through hundreds of games, or do you have a program to do this for you?

A different take... What bonuses did the Winner take? The Loser?

@NinjaNic

For the love of Warlight, read the thread. Its not even past a page and you can´t skim 14 posts? Read few posts before yours.

A few questions about analysis? If you count the turns taken and average of captured bonuses - do you include these games as well when neither of player chose particual bonus as their starting point. If i am not mistaken then current average shows the one where bonus were not picked as starting as well.

If 1vs1 ranking would not be with wasteland and random warlords there could be possibility to carry a full analysis about bonuses-territories which lead to most victory. Current settings has too big blind factor calculated in. But in general good idea.

Edited 6/10/2015 23:53:41

What a fun sampling. Thanks for doing it!

I plan to break it down by starting bonuses, and also winners and losers.

Also I realized there was an error in the calculations--I will post a corrected one soon.

A NEW CONSPIRACY BY FIZZER


I har replied to this thread and i cant find my post now, fizer deleted it, its outrageous.

Or perhaps i forgot to press submit

^ That's happened to me 4 times before.

What did you post earlier?

I will have to manually make a table of players to include or something because as far as I can tell there's no way to get player info through the API. (The histories unfortunately do not include the lobby message like "Player 1 ranked 12th with a rating of 2000 versus ...")

you should mail this to fizzer, he might be able to add some extra meta data or api call for you on the next update.