Advanced Strategy

So you think you have internalised the Basic Strategies of the game and know your way around? Good. This page will teach you some advanced techniques and help you understand the subleties of game-play.

Picking Territories

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Probabilities

The Analyzer Tool is your best friend. It allows you to estimate if your attacks will fail or succeed and thus can give you a good first risk assessment. You can also use it to calculate the chances for multiple attacks combined, but since it only shows one attack at a time you will have to do some simple calculations yourself.

Example:

You have 9 armies to deploy.
There are 2 bonuses of equal value you could complete, but you only have armies for one of them.
So you want to know the odds.

Bonus 1:
You are missing 3 territories, each occupied by 2 neutrals.
Since you have 9 armies at your disposal, you can attack each neutral territory with 3 armies. If you hover your mouse cursor over the dots in the upper graph of the Analyzer Tool, it will tell you the odds for a single attack, in our case 71%. To get the extra bonus armies next turn, all 3 attacks have to succeed, so your chances of taking that bonus are:
71% x 71% x 71% = ~36% (or 0.71 x 0.71 x 0.71 = 0.36)

Bonus 2:
You are missing 2 territories, one with 2 neutrals and the other one with 4 neutrals.
Single chance for the 3 vs. 2 attack: 71%
Single chance for the 6 vs. 4 attack: 55%
Combined odds:
71% x 55% = ~39% (or 0.71 x 0.55 = 0.39)

So in this case the odds for completing the 2nd bonus are slightly better than for the 1st one.

Note:
If this were a ladder game, the result would be a little different:

Bonus 1:
0.79 x 0.79 x 0.79 = 0.49 or ~49%

Bonus 2:
0.79 x 0.60 = 0.47 or ~47%

Deployment

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Hiding your income

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Bonuses

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See Also

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