Wouldnt it be a good idea to ponder over where our enemy put his units in the placement?
If we use our combined thinking power to figure out what the best position for him is, based on our knowledge, we are more likely to succeed in making wise choices.
Isnt it highly likely that he placed himself in africa, cause expansion in southeast asia is very restricted?
I mean it is unlikely he is going for india in one turn, starting from two places cause that would mean at least 3 turns until his next bonus from there on.
He could be split, one in scandinavia or both in africa.
My question is, what if duke is wrong? We should play through some scenarios and probabilities.
If he is in scandinavia we will notice and be able to hamper him still. So that wouldnt be bad for us. If he is in south east asia his expanision would be slower than ours. Leaves only africa in my opinion, but i could be mistaken.
What if he is in africa and he will go for boni (presumably green) there and not go and try taking central in the first turn but rather look for south america or stand completly idle?
In my opion we march best to brazil instead of columbia/ecuador, that covers most of his moves.
So if we move there he shows up at the african coast we can be almost certain he is going for green. If he doesnt show up there and/or in scandinavia we can march on to venezuela next turn.
So i would go with not going straight to columbia but rather brazil.