Small correction:
2v2 Volcano Islands is a Stats win vs. Sninja.

Also: Sninja can certainly not relegate at this point, all clans can in theory still promote (at least 2nd spot)*

(*assuming no penalties or reversal of results, but even then)

Edited 7/31/2018 22:03:46

@Math wolf, yes, all clans can theoretically promote at this point. And only Sninja has theoretically no chance of demotion.

Comprehensive Update XII:

A day late and this analysis is already obsolete! But Ill take the apporach as if today hasn't happened yet. But the quick update, as always, will be based on the current numbers. I will cover the four FCC wins that happened today next week, however, so they won't be on the list of games until then.

Quick Update: By Points Scored:

Sninja 			117
WG	                90
Statisticians		87
FCC			62
Hydra			59
TJC			51

Quick Update: By Max Points:

Sninja			174
WG			151
Statisticians		132
Hydra			93
FCC			98
TJC			86

Completed Games: (Bold denotes winner):

1v1 Strategic Greece:

FCC vs Hydra                 https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15992798 (7/30) 
WG vs Hydra                  https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=16123640 (8/3) 

1v1 Pangea Ultima:

FCC vs WG                    https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=16012147 (7/30) 
FCC vs Hydra                 https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=16075446 (7/30) 

1v1 Battle Islands V:

FCC vs TJC                   https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=16096268 (7/30) 
Hydra vs Statisticains       https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=16096264 (7/31) 
WG vs TJC                    https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15968706 (8/2) 

2v2 Szeurope:

Hydra vs Sninja              https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15873812 (8/02) 

2v2 Volcano Islands:

FCC vs TJC                   https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=16061491 (7/31) 

2v2 Final Earth:

Statisticians vs TJC         https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15891301 (8/1) 

3v3 Biomes of America:

Statisticians vs Hydra       https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15891303 (7/30) 
Statisticians vs WG          https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15730362 (8/4) 

3v3 Europe:

WG vs TJC                    https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15710515 (7/31) 
WG vs Hydra                  https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15873815 (8/5)

Edited 8/7/2018 03:11:02

Progressions:



Horse Race:



Analysis:

With the season going into 3rd street, this has now become the battle of two groups: Statisticians, WG, and Sninja have pretty much skunked the competition and fight for two promotion slots, and TJC, FCC, and Hydra fighting to avoid getting placed into the dreaded stinker hole. Believe it or not, this is the first week sninja has not scored any points! I don't think that means they are slowing down... I probably means they are just starting to run out of games to win. Statisticians and WG will be really interesting to watch in the coming weeks, as these two effectively are competing with each other for one promotion slot.

On the other side of the divide, FCC has catapulted Hydra and TJC, and for the first time rank somewhere other than last. Its been a long road back into relevance for FCC after starting out an abysmal 1-19. TJC did the opposite, getting off to a hot start, and then simply stalling. Hydra's resurgence hence resulted in TJC suddenly finding themselves in last. But this battle is far from over.

Edited 8/7/2018 03:22:12

Why did TJC break down?

Lame end to the season. There's no stakes when there's just booting at the end :/

Congrats FCC and Hydra though. Great comeback.

Why did TJC break down :(

^ because you left it

I did leave :(

When are we gonna compare everyones predictions? Cant wait to talk about how right I was :P

Not visible in the graph, but most of Sninja's remaining games are against 2nd ranked WG. Sninja is slowly losing ground and WG is the upcoming team, could make for a great finish.

yeah, we have quite a few vs Stats as well. Should be an exciting finish.

I have to apologize for my inactiviy, but I have barely had any time to play out my games, much less contriubte to this thread, nor have I had much motivation to. If someone wants to take over for the remainder of the season, I permit them to do so.

Ok I got this.

So, Division B is coming to a close; while there are a few games still left to be played, the final positions are all but sealed, but mathematically there is still some flux that could still occur.

Sninja has all but wrapped up first, needing just one win against WG on any of their remaining maps to clinch the position. Of their 5 remaining games, 4 are team games against WG (Europe, Biomes, Szeurope, Final Earth) and the other is 5 points against Hydra on Biomes, so they have plenty of chances to do so. Other scenarios involve WG losing two non-Sninja games, or Sninja beating Hydra and WG losing one non-Sninja game. So essentially, it's going to take a virtually perfect run from WG at this point to achieve first, and sources close to me regarding some of these game states confirm this comeback to be highly improbable.

The race for second is still on, but Stats don't have too many more places to gain points, while WG has seven more games remaining.
Both of Stats' remaining games are against WG, which does give them a bit more control of their fate here, but WG just needs 12 out of their possible 30 points to lock in second, with wins against Stats closing that gap even quicker. Stats has done well to pass WG in total points earned given the gap that formed in early June, but it will take some help from Sninja to receive a guaranteed spot in A next season.

FCC has locked in 4th after a very slow start. Going 12-3 on the second half of the 1v1 schedule really helped to give FCC the bump it needed. Congrats to them on the rebound!

And last but not least, there still remains a race for last. If TJC wins their Biomes game vs WG and Hydra lose their Biomes game vs Sninja, TJC could move back into 5th, but reports of a TJC boot in Biomes make this possibility increasingly unlikely. But nothing is impossible!

Quick Update: By Points Scored:

Sninja 135
Statisticians 116
WG 112
FCC 76
Hydra 65
TJC 61

Quick Update: By Max Points:

Sninja 158
WG 142
Statisticians 123
FCC 76
Hydra 70
TJC 66

Completed Games:

1v1 Strategic Greece:

Hydra vs Sninja https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16055829 (8/11)
FCC vs Sninja https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16123642 (8/13)
TJC vs Statisticians https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16123641 (8/19)

1v1 Pangea Ultima:

WG vs Hydra https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=15891296 (8/09)
Statisticians vs Hydra https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16144990 (8/10)
FCC vs TJC https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16144993 (8/11)
Sninja vs Statisticians https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16012148 (8/19)
Sninja vs WG https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16144991 (8/23)
Sninja vs TJC https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16075447 (8/25)


1v1 Battle Islands V:

WG vs Sninja https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16096267 (8/10)
FCC vs Sninja https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16165778 (8/11)
Statisticians vs WG https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16029815 (8/15)
Hydra vs WG https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16165776 (8/24)
TJC vs Statisticians https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16165777 (8/28)

2v2 Szeurope:

Statisticians vs Hydra https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16023759 (8/21)
TJC vs FCC https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16023761 (8/21)

2v2 Volcano Islands:

Statisticians vs Hydra https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16061489 (8/05)
WG vs FCC https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=15932862 (8/10)
WG vs Sninja https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16061490 (8/13)

2v2 Final Earth:

Statisticians vs FCC https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16043278 (8/07)
WG vs Hydra https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=15891300 (8/09)
Sninja vs Hydra https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16043277 (8/22)
WG vs TJC https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16043279 (8/23)

3v3 Biomes of America:

Statisticians vs FCC https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16043281 (8/08)

3v3 Europe:

Statisticians vs Hydra https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16023763 (8/13)
Sninja vs FCC https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=15873817 (8/18)
Statisticians vs TJC https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=15873816 (8/23)
FCC vs TJC https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=16023765 (8/23)

Games Remaining:

Sninja:

Final Earth vs WG
Szeurope vs WG
Biomes vs Hydra
Biomes vs WG
Europe vs WG

WG:

Pangea vs Statisticians
Final Earth vs Sninja
Szeurope vs Sninja
Volcano Island vs Statisticians
Biomes vs Sninja
Biomes vs TJC
Europe vs Sninja

Statisticians:

Pangea vs WG
Volcano Island vs WG

FCC:

n/a

Hydra:

Biomes vs Sninja

TJC:

Biomes vs WG

Edited 8/29/2018 03:00:37

While races for overall placements are more than likely settled barring some very strong surges, no team tournament has first place definitively decided yet.

With tournaments starting to come to a close, let's focus in on some of the stand-out individual performances on given maps. Only one individual game is yet to finish, but every 1v1 tournament now has the winner decided, so let's give them the props they deserve.

First, congratulations to TheEnigma for their impressive 5-0 on Strategic Greece for FCC! A dominant performance, one that earned FCC almost 1/5th of FCC's total points and was incredibly important to their late surge from the depths of relegation. Hunta of Hydra came in second with a 3-2 record that may make the difference between Hydra or TJC being the auto-demote. While after a subtitution, almosttricky of WG handed Hunta his only loss outside of the undefeated winner, two non-joins by nich of WG gave Mictlantecuhtli of Stats his only win and gave Tr4gic of TJC a win as well. d-ceo of Sninja, the rotating WG slot of almosttricky/nich/ChrisCMU, and Tr4gic thus came in at a record of 2-3 ahead of Mictlantecuhtli at 1-4.

Second, congratulations to Milly of Hydra for earning first with a 4-1 on Battle Islands V! This is another case of Hydra being quite strong in 1v1 games this season, which despite being mere points away from last, is guaranteed to be at worst tied for third in 1v1 points. Milly's only loss came to TheEnigma of FCC, who tied for 2nd with [ARM]BelSon of Statisticians and Andersault of WG at a record of 3-2. In the last game to complete of this tournament, [ARM]BelSon had a chance to move into a tie for first, but lost to the otherwise winless Tr4gic of TJC after a great blockade near the end of the game stranded BelSon's large army advantage somewhere these armies couldn't be of immediate use. Good on Tr4gic to fight back despite how the other games in the tournament went, and it'll remain to be seen if those points were needed for Stats to keep WG at bay from retaking 2nd in total points.

Third, congratulations to ssese of Sninja for a 5-0 performance on Pangea Ultima! Sninja, as you might expect of the clan in first, was head and shoulders above the rest of the competition on 1v1 games, winning 2/3ds of their 1v1s. Joi179 of FCC came in second at 4-1, who lost to ssese in a long game trying to battle back from a deficit as early as turn 3, surrendering after 18 turns of play. The one remaining 1v1 game yet to complete is Math Wolf of Statisticians against Verzehrer of WG, both 2-2 currently, and it's a game that could certainly hold implications over the race for 2nd. Rounding out the field are Derfellios of Hydra at 1-4 and Rikku of TJC at 0-5 (having booted/non-joined from all but the FCC and the Sninja games)

Edited 8/29/2018 02:54:37

fantastic updates bro

Nice summary of the 1v1s, short and sweet! Thanks

Aaaand now each team's overall placement is officially decided as of two days ago!

In first place, clinching after a convincing victory on Europe 3v3 against WG -- aided in large part by Waddles' strategic AI replace -- is SNinja! With 140 points, no team left can pass them. Their max points are 149 with two games remaining; we'll see if they put further distance between themselves and second place.

In second place, clinching after a cool counter-heavy victory against SNinja on Szeurope, is WG! Their maximum points remaining of 137 remains unable to pass SNinja, but their 120 points currently earned cannot be surpassed by anyone below them.

In third place, a loss against WG on Volcano Island in a very bizarre and long game with teams having 40-50 income each come the endgame made their leapfrogging to second quite difficult, but their mid to late resurgence helped separate themselves far from the bottom of the pack and gave them great chances at second, is Statisticians! While their maximum total points of 119 won't be enough to earn an automatic promotion to A, their 116 total points are 40 above the next closest competitor.

In fourth place remains Fifth Column Confederation! Great performances by TheEnigma and Joi179 in particular should be commended for really boosting FCC away from relegation, but the whole clan battled hard in the second half of CL10 to avoid that possibility, really. Their total points and max points of 76 set them securely into 4th place.

In fifth place, securing their only 3v3 win of CL10, but against one of the toughest opponents in the previously undefeated SNinja on Biomes is Hydra! Taking matters into their own hands, their win closed any chance of the last place clan pulling off a comeback. The 5 points they earned from Biomes have put them out of reach of the last place team, securing them a total and max point score of 70.

In last place, despite a currently ongoing Biomes game against WG is The Juggernauts Clan. Having the most boots/non-joins of any clan really hurt them, despite a fairly strong start, showing that half the battle truly is showing up... although I suppose with a boot rate over 11% myself, I have little room to criticize here! Their max point score of 66 are not enough to pass Hydra, although it remains to be seen if their total points will increase from their current value of 61.

Edited 9/5/2018 16:09:27

Haha. I was way off with Statisticians in my predictions, and wrong about WG/Sninja exact order, but my promotions and order of FCC-Hydra-TJC were all right!

Congratulations WG and Sninja for making it to A, although the former will likely get destroyed again like in CL8 :P