Landalf
JohnSmith
Kellen
Coaleyes

These are the people Gror had on his suspects list just before he was killed. The question is, was he killed because he had nailed at least one wolf, or was he killed to try and incriminate the people listed above?

I think the list above is pretty good and I had already called out Landalf and Kellen as suspects. But then, why wasn't I killed?

Meh.
Vote Coaleyes.

Gror was probably just killed for making the best effort so far at a reads list. Whether he was right or wrong. Wolves love villagers who dont care.

The wolves obviously think Arun is doing a fine job as a distraction or they would have attacked.

Valid observation by Lawlz (Pride)

Gror was probably just killed for making the best effort so far at a reads list.

Another valid observation.


Killing Arun is a waste of time, you can pop him after the wolves are finished and we're fighting for factional power.

My assumption on why Gror was killed:

1) He had confidence in long-balls
2) Seems to have confidence in Ace as well
3) Made a list of 4, but he had several other suspects.
4) He called on several players to be more active, wolves tend not to like being pushed for responses.

Gror's Tentative List:

Landalf
JohnSmith
Kellen
Coaleyes

Gror's list of be more active:

Green
Frank
Dr Stupid
Silver!
Ehrmantraut
MoOoOoO

Gror's Wild Cards:

MMB (Taco)
Lawlz (Mr. Pride)
Genghis

I think there are 4 wolves (one for every faction). Dom has been throwing a number of messages out there to keep us profoundly confused, so this is only an assumption I'm working with.

I'm relatively confident that our targets are on Gror's above mentioned list.

RIP GROR
i'm conna get u dam wolves who killed him
1vs1 me wolves

Edited 11/5/2014 14:00:09

The only problem is although their is probally 1 wolf in each cell Iam betting their are 5-7 wolves.

We must also not forget their is a serial killer out their that can also kill once per night.

Ps @Dom what message do we get if the death is by the serial killer?

how many wolves are dead?
i thought 5 or am i wrong?

Edited 11/5/2014 14:04:38

Wow, the morale is really low... Don't worry people, village always has a hard start, it's just how probability works. We will be doing better soon, by the laws of math.

It's best if we just forget the recent events. Arun, please don't give up, we need your input. Just answer those 2 simple questions, please:

1. What was that fuss with Kasparov.
2. You said that from now on the specials will discuss the strategy. Does it mean they know each other's identities?

Stupid, if you have a suspect's list, just post it, that's always something to work on.

To the vigillante(s): please, don't try to shoot Arun again, could you?

Now, Ace... Why weren't you the one to get eaten tonight? That's a very good question. You had 2 suspects: Kellen and Landalf. Gror had the same 2 of yours plus another 2: Coaleyes and John Smith. I have 2 theories:

1. A wolf is in these "another 2". Now the wolves could expect the village to lynch Kellen or Landalf, because you both suspected them. Result: the only person who was close to finding the wolf is gone and the wolf managed to get away with it.

2. Gror was completely off target. All 4 of his suspects are clear, and the wolves are trying to make us lynch one of them.

Theory number 2 doesn't really help us atm, so I vote John Smith. As long as we don't have the false seer's name.

@Rento, I agree with you on Gror's killing.

@Coaleyes, I think you might be right that it was the serial killer that tried to shoot Arun.


@Silver you are playing completely differently to previous games. Tell us who suspect and why.

Vote: Silver

Suspect list:

Charlie Brown
Coaleyes
Mr.Pride

you make these lists and you see people getting killed and you dont know when this is going to happen to you

Edited 11/5/2014 16:33:25

Vote : Silver

I suspect him to be a wolf. Seemed to shoot down everything arun brought up. Maybe he even tried to shoot him. .. well, no way to know.

You guys are just voting for anythign now. Quit trying to start bandwagons ace.

If it was a Serial Killer attack, that would be made clear in the update.

Silver who do you suspect again?

Here is my analysis. Keep in mind that I am neither experienced at wolves (this being my first game)
nor do I have any real knowledge about the behavior of any of the people in this game beyond what has
happened in this game. I will also not be taking into consideration the seering round or anything said
during the first night, or anything said during the current day. Only posts after Dom’s first death post
and after his latest will be counted.

The first part of each person’s report is a fact analysis. The first bullet is who has voted the same
as the person more than once, not including the seer round. The second bullet is their status. The third
bullet is how active they have been (measured in number of posts). Everything after that is
my opinion/analysis.

A Talking Taco 
Landalf
Alive, unknown
43
Has posted a lot, often distractive comments. Also voted the same as Landalf, might be 2 colluding
wolves. Has been a suspect before.
Ace Windu
None
Alive, unknown
17
Nothing really suspicious yet.
Alias09
None
Dead, villager
7
Apollo
None
Dead, villager
1
bdh1998
John Smith, Semicedevine
Alive, unknown
6
Has not posted a lot, might be afraid of being caught as a wolf if he says something wrong? Voted
the same as John Smith, but also as Semicedevine, who was a villager.
CharlieBrown
None
Alive, unknown
0
Should be dead already because of inactivity?
Clavicus Vile
None
Alive, unknown
8
Less posts than some people, but still more than a lot. Slightly suspicious.
Coaleyes
Voted Green twice
Alive, unknown
7
Why did he vote Green twice? Is he a seer who knows Green is a wolf or a wolf who has a vendetta
against Green? Also, has a relatively small number of posts, may be trying to hide being a wolf.
On Gror’s list.
Dom
None
Dead, villager
0
Dr. Stupid
None
Alive, unknown
20
Nothing really suspicious yet.
Ehrmantraut
None
Alive, unknown
7
Small number of posts, may indicate hiding wolf?
Eliza
None
Dead, villager
0
Frankdeslimste
None
Alive, unknown
4
Significantly less posts than most others, hiding wolf?
G. Arun
None
Alive, villager
106
Only known villager. Lots of posts because he is trying to coordinate the village.
GeneralGror
Traintown
Dead, villager
11
Genghis
None
Alive, unknown
7
Smaller number of posts, might be a hiding wolf?
Green
None
Alive, unknown
19
Nothing suspicious beyond Coaleyes voting for him twice.
his balls. 
Taisho
Alive, unknown
44
Has posted a lot, and voted the same as Taisho. However, seems to be one of the more reasonable
people.
John Smith
bdh1998, Semicedevine
Alive, unknown
5
Voted the same as bdh1998, and Semicedevine, who was a villager. Has a significantly smaller number
of posts.
Kasparov
None
Dead, villager
0 
Kellen the Conqueror
None
Alive, unknown
5
Significantly smaller number of posts, maybe wolf trying to hide? Has talked about his clan being
Wolf, which I don’t think he would have done if he had been a wolf. On Gror’s List.
Landalf
A Talking Taco
Alive, unknown
16
Voted the same as A Talking Taco. Might be colluding wolves? On Gror’s list.
Lord Veigar
None
Alive, unknown
13
Nothing really suspicious yet.
Mayor Sonnen
None
Alive, unknown
14
Nothing really suspicious yet.
MoOoOoOoO
None
Alive, unknown
4
Has not voted, so maybe should be eliminated due to inactivity as well? Dom?
Mr. Pride
None
Alive, unknown
60
A large number of posts. Might be trying to overcompensate for being a wolf by posting a lot?
Seems to be somewhat antagonistic. Has been a big suspect before.
rento
None
Alive, unknown
10
Nothing really suspicious yet.
Semicedevine
bdh1998, John Smith
Dead, angel
33
Silver
None
Alive, unknown
6
Slightly less posts than others, hiding wolf?
Tactical Incursion
None
Dead, villager
4
Taisho
his balls.
Alive, unknown
11
Voted the same as his balls. Other than that, not really suspicious.
Traintown
GeneralGror
Alive, unknown
27
Has posted a relatively large number of posts. Voted the same as General Gror, who was a villager.
Is me…what else do you expect me to say?


Top suspects, in order of suspiciousness:
A Talking Taco
bdh1998 
Landalf
Coaleyes
Mr. Pride
John Smith
Green
Frankdeslimste

I apologize if any of you have to side-scroll...the code tag I used to get the monospaced font didn't wrap automatically so I had to insert linebreaks automatically.

Edit: err...manually. I had to insert linebreaks Manually. *facepalm*

Edited 11/5/2014 18:54:31

You definitely just confirmed yourself for me.

Whoo! Not the top* suspect!

Edited 11/5/2014 19:00:57

Colluding with Landalf?

well , im not going to argue with you traintown if that is your opinions .

But anyway

My suspect list (modified)

Coaleyes : has not posted much , hiding wolf or silent villager? And yet he still vote because of the miss vote , you die rule.

MoOoOoOo : inactive , should have died by now

Genghis :probably a silent villager

Mr.Pride :I could not say much but he is a big suspect

Edited 11/5/2014 19:15:56

Wow, that must have taken a lot of work. Nice one Traintown.

Does the fact that no one has been murdered mean that there probably isn't a serial killer?
Could they be waiting until there becomes conflict between factions?