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❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 19:25:23


Traintown 
Level 58
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Well, I'm gonna vote for my top suspect of course.

VOTE TACO
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 19:28:29


Genghis 
Level 54
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Nevermind.

Edited 11/5/2014 19:32:08
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 19:33:48


Green 
Level 56
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Green
None
Alive, unknown
19
Nothing suspicious beyond Coaleyes voting for him twice.

--
Top suspects, in order of suspiciousness:
A Talking Taco
bdh1998
Landalf
Coaleyes
Mr. Pride
John Smith
Green
Frankdeslimste


Could you explain to me why I'm on your top suspects list please Traintown?
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 19:38:11


Taishō 
Level 57
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Train - your analysis is too number dependent. Your list of suspects is based largely on those who posted the least and those who voted the same as another player. You're looking at quantity over quality, in other words.

However, your list of top suspects shares a number of similarities.

Dr Stupid:

Landalf
bdh

Gror:

Landalf
JohnSmith
Kellen
Coaleyes

Train:

A Talking Taco
bdh1998
Landalf
Coaleyes
Mr. Pride
John Smith
Green
Frankdeslimste

Common Names:

Landalf
Coal Eyes
Bdh
John Smith

There's a couple other names I would add, namely Arun supporters who suddenly went quiet. If what Pride observed before stands, it would make sense that wolves would support the one spreading chaos like free candy and then slink into the silence as soon as villagers start catching on, very wolf-like indeed.

My top (former supporters of the tyrant Arun) suspects:

Mayor Sonnen
Genghis
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 19:38:23


Traintown 
Level 58
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Because Coaleyes may be a seer, and has voted for you twice, indicating that you may be a wolf? You're near the bottom of it, because Coaleyes being a seer is pretty unlikely. That's part of why he is so much higher.
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 19:44:36


Traintown 
Level 58
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Taisho, I agree that it is highly number dependent, but numbers tend to be a better summary of what is actually going on than guesses or, in many cases, intuition. For example, noting that wolves may try to stay invisible and not throw any suspicion on themselves, as well as noting that in order to counteract that, wolves may be far more outspoken than others, is a good reason to be suspicious of the people who post few times or many more times than others. I am in no way guaranteeing that this is the way it is working out, and I have less information than most of you because I do not know how people have acted in previous rounds. This is just my thoughts on who is most likely to be wolves.
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 19:52:00


Green 
Level 56
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Alright, that's fair enough.

You're relying him on being a seer, seering me the first night, then posting:
Vote Green

I will see his role one way or another :)
As long no one gets the wrong impression that's fine by me.
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 19:56:18


Traintown 
Level 58
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That does make it look a little less likely...I was going to go through and read all the messages tonight and come to further conclusions to post. Just didn't have time with all the stuff I did for the first post. I think it is much more likely that he is a wolf and just has a vendetta against you.
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 20:17:09


Coaleyes
Level 59
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Your posts make me wishIwas a seer (btw I will confirm I am definitely not a seer).

I'm intrested that you guys suspect me for my voting when you list the person I voted for as a suspect...
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 20:19:58


Ⓖ. Ⓐrun 
Level 57
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Um sorry confirmed villagers - Will make your chat now.
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 20:28:19

Mayor Sonnen
Level 63
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@Taisho: You got it wrong, I am not a former supporter of Arun. I am still his supporter.

@Arun: What takes so long to just give us the name of the false seer? I don't get it
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 20:51:58


Landalf
Level 56
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My name is easy to spell or something?

Traintown you break my heart trying to pin me down as a wolf. But I guess, there some logic behind... If I were one of you I would think the same... Gror made a list and now he is dead...
who were on the list?:

JohnSmith
Kellen
Landalf
Coaleyes

However, I will disagree with list.. I still working out my suspect list.. and it is becoming more and more difficult to discern, specially when some of participants are not actively involved in the conversations.

So far I have seen three school of thoughts in this forum.. the following criteria is being used to target suspects:
1) school of thought No 1 - Least amount of posts is a wolf (hiding wolf)
2) School of thought No 2 - are stupid comments being posted? do they sound rational? (if yes to
stupid comments then he is a wolf)
3) School of thought No 3 - If a player has a lot of votes.. let me vote for him too....
(this is not very smart)


So guys, let's sharpen our minds... because villagers are dying by our own hands... even an angel died... you dont want more specials dying, do you?
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 21:06:05


Genghis 
Level 54
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I never was a " supporter " of Arun. Of course, I originally fancied the idea of an organized resistance due to this confirmed villager business, his decisions have turned me against his leadership. But, it's highly likely his organized resistance plans are still in motion, or even are working ( considering he's stopped wailing about it ), so +1 for Village on that. Wow, the End Game for this is going to be scary though, what with all the factional warfare...
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 21:37:44


Phulesdorp
Level 28
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{farts}
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 23:00:25


Lawlz
Level 41
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There is no false seer, only Arun's bullshit
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 23:23:49


MoOoOoOoO
Level 60
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Vote : Silver
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-05 23:37:23

Silver 
Level 56
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That's random. Any reasoning?
I'm one of the confirmed villagers lol.
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-06 00:02:27


Ace Windu 
Level 58
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Unvote: Silver

Vote: Kellen
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-06 01:17:31


{rp} Clavicus Vile 
Level 56
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Care to explain how you are confirmed, Silver?
❹ Wolves ❹ - CELL: 2014-11-06 01:22:53


{rp} Clavicus Vile 
Level 56
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And considering Arun has killed one of my faction and won't even comment on it:

Vote: General Arun


I'll change if you can give a good enough reason
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