Week 7 Summary:It looks like last week was the anomaly. ILLUMINATI and General Chous are back to their positions. Lu Fredd is back is a solid lead (we will get to that later), M'Hunters is back in second. Hawks and Dutch Forever is way, way back are both are guaranteed the last two spots now and will end up in Group E next season. That is all I'll say about Hawks and Dutch Forever.
Determining the group winner will come down to one simple factor: team games.
Lu Fredd (3-1) continue to plod along smoothly. So while they have a strong leader against M'Hunters (18 point lead) and ILLUMINATI (24 points), their lead isn't secured yet. It is easier to lead when you have completed more games like Lu Fredd has. Lu Fredd has only 6 games left and is nearing their ceiling.
ILLUMINATI (0-3) had a bad week but is hardly disastrous; it was only three games. Their max points have come down from a significant high to a slight lead over the rest of the clans. M'Hunters (3-1) has shown their consistency this week.
Early in this thread I said that the team games were more important than the 1v1 games. It has ended up I was correct for the wrong reasons. I said it was because there was more points in team games (which is wrong). The actual reason for the team games being so important is because with CORP being the exception, ILLUMINATI, M'Hunters and Lu Fredd have split the 1v1 games almost equally. Since they are all more or less equal, they become largely irrelevant to determining the winner. And since you get more points for a win in team games then 1v1 games, a strong performance in team games will push a clan closer to the promotion spot.
With the win rates of M'Hunters, ILLUMINATI and Lu Fredd converging once again it looks like we are looking at a clan likely winning this division with 10 points or less. The difference between 1st and 3rd will also likely be 15 points or less. So unless something happens over the next two weeks to change the dynamic of the race again, the winner wont be know until the very end.