https://www.warlight.net/MultiPlayer?GameID=9472583You didn't lose that because of luck. Let's take a look at Turn 14 (the start). You are up by 2 income and 28 armies, and he has no easy way to break any of your bonuses. Basically, this should be an easy win for you. Whether or not you had bad luck entering this point is irrelevant, because you were winning at this point. Now let's see how you lost.
Turn 14: Hitting Iran allowed Doga to break your bonus. You could have just sat and won the game that turn. I see no luck involved that turn.
Turn 15: You still have a solid shot at winning this game. You hit first order, and LUCKILY manage to take him out of Pakistan. Unfortunately for you, you gave up Scandinavia to hit so hard in Pakistan. Less would have done the job in Pakistan; it was a guessing game at this point.
Turn 16: The game should be over at this point if not for your mistake on Turn 14. Unfortunately, you did not learn from your mistake Turn 14. You make the same mistake, relying on first order, when you could have just sat there and marched towards his bonuses. Even if you got first order, he would still survive in the Middle East. So first order does not make a major impact here.
Turn 17: You unfortunately do not get first order here, which only matters because of your mistake Turn 16.
What I see is a player who had countless chances to win a game, was in a nearly certain-win position, and manages to lose the game. After a large number of errors and mistakes, he misses a 50/50 first order which puts him away. Not to mention the 50/50 first order he had gotten on Turn 15 which kept him in the game. If he had lost that, it'd be over by now. Not to mention that you could have saved your order priority card and used it Turn 17; instead you wasted it in Turn 13.
You did not lose because of luck; you lost because you made many mistakes. If you had not made those mistakes, luck doesn't matter.
Edited 9/22/2015 03:04:06